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Statistical Hypothesis Test Over a Data Series

I need a mathematician, statistician or computer scientist who could write a STATISTICAL HYPOTHESIS TEST or a SIMULATION for the given problem:

There’s a discrete random variable with the following possible values: {-1, 0, 1}. Two people, A and B, compete to predict the outcome of the variable in a number of possible trials (about 100), based on information no one can understand, therefore we can call them oracle A and oracle B.

The oracles makes the predictions in a particular format, stating P(-1), P(0) and P(1) separately. The 3 predicted probabilities are real numbers between 0 and 1. The 3 probabilities predicted by each oracle don’t need to sum up 1, but one can normalize them so they end summing up 1 and are meaningful as probabilities.

You are given a function in pseudocode, which is attached to this posting. The winner will also be given the predictions of both oracles for each of the (about) 100 events, and the real outcomes of the events.

The test or simulation I require must state the probability that, given the value of the variable points after the 100 events, the value of that variable after infinitely many trials will be positive.

Færdigheder: Statistikker

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Om arbejdsgiveren:
( 1 bedømmelse ) Florida, Argentina

Projekt-ID: #615878

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subhadippal

Hi, I am a Statistician.I can do the [url removed, login to view] pm for details.

$65 USD in 2 dage
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6 freelancers are bidding on average $98 for this job

bchandra1955

This is very interesting problem, I am working automation engineer. Would love to work on this problem. ESCROW $50 in project to commit the work. Brajesh

$60 USD in 4 dage
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UltimateJob

Hi, Plz check PMB. Regards UltimateJob

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Matlabcoder

Hi, I am not sure if what I can offer you is interesting for your request. I can make this simulation implemented on matlab code, it means you would need Matlab software for running it. Anyway I would like to saw yo Mere

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donmarch

I'm a mathematician/computer scientist who can complete your project right away. I can provide code in a number of languages that you can choose from, all of which will run for free. Looking forward to working on it!

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engineerchuan

I am an Masters of Electrical Engineering from MIT. I tutored for 4 years in 6.031, the introductory probability course. I also did well in 15.518 a statistics course. I am experienced in python and Matlab. I will w Mere

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